Sunday, September 24, 2006

Week 3 Predictions (22-10 so far)

Ok, Ok so 11-5 straight up 2 weeks in a row. Once again, decent but Im looking for better, unfortunately only 14 games this week so I expect at least 10-4, but Im gonna shoot for 11-3 this week, here goes...


Carolina at Tampa Bay
Chicago at Minnesota
Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Green Bay at Detroit
Jacksonville at Indianapolis
N.Y. Jets at Buffalo
Tennessee at Miami
Washington at Houston (here is my upset pick of the week)
Baltimore
at Cleveland
N.Y. Giants at Seattle
Philadelphia
at San Francisco
St. Louis at Arizona
Denver at New England
Atlanta at New Orleans


Against the spread, 2-2 last week so no harm, no foul

Wash at Hou +4 This is my upset of the week, I am taking Houston to not only cover but to win the game too

Phi at SF +6 Philly is a great bounce back team under Andy Reid, they have a bad tasted in their mouths from last weeks debacle, with the veterans on this team look for the Eagles to take the 49ers to the woodshed.

Jax at Ind -7 the Jags have looked good in beating Dallas and Pittsburgh, they have a very good defense. Vegas is begging you to take the Jags in this game, you know why they are giving you 7 points? Cause many are gonna bite on that. Not me, I'll take the Colts and give the 7.

Bal at Cle +6.5 I said it in my season predictions, McNair + that defense = playoffs. Ill take the Ravens to roll over the Browns and gladly give the points.

Den at NE -6.5 Denver has had the Pats number of late, but they look very mediocre this year. Statement game for New England. Take the Pats at home, give the points

Atl at NO +3.5 Ah the feel good story of the week, the Saint return to the Superdome for the first time since Katrina hit, sellout crowd, big halftime show, Monday Night Football, Reggie Bush's home debut, both teams hate each other, both are surprisingly 2-0, yadda yadda yadda. Atlanta is the superior team hands down. Give me the Falcons give the 3 and a half.


Game I wont touch with a 10 foot pole - Ten at Mia -11.0, we knew Tennesse would be terrible, but wow Miami has looked bad this year. Im sure the Dolphins will win, but their QB Daunte Culpepper has been a turnover machine which might keep the Titans close. ICK - You can call this game the Toilet Bowl.

Friday, September 15, 2006

Week 2 Predictions

So 11-5, week one - decent but I can do better, on that note....


Buffalo at Miami
Carolina
at Minnesota
Cleveland at Cincinnati
Detroit at Chicago
Houston at Indianapolis
New Orleans at Green Bay
N.Y. Giants at Philadelphia
Oakland at Baltimore
Tampa Bay at Atlanta
Arizona at Seattle
St. Louis at San Francisco
Kansas City at Denver
New England
at N.Y. Jets
Tennessee at San Diego
Washington at Dallas
Pittsburgh
at Jacksonville

And I have some lines so here are my selections for against the spread.

Oakland at Baltimore (-11.5) - thats a big number to be giving, but I'll give the points, Baltimore will win by 12 or more.

Detroit at Chicago (-8) - I will take Chicago to win, but Detroit to cover the spread

Carolina at Minnesota (+2) Bounce back week for the Panthers, I pick them to win outright, and cover the 2 points.

New England at New York (+6) Tempting to take New York to cover when getting 6 at home, but I bet Tom Brady has a feast of a game this week. New England wins by more than 6.

Thursday, September 07, 2006

Week 1 NFL Predictions

Straight up, I dont have the lines so I cant do against the spread so just picking the winners (in bold)...

Miami at Pittsburgh
Atlanta at Carolina
Baltimore at Tampa Bay
Buffalo at New England
Cincinnati at Kansas City
Denver at St. Louis
New Orleans at Cleveland
NY Jets at Tennessee
Phildadelphia at Houston
Seattle at Detroit
Chicago at Green Bay
Dallas at Jacksonville
San Francisco at Arizona
Indianapolis at NY Giants
Minnesota at Washington
San Diego at Oakland

NFL Season Predictions

Ah its my favorite time of year, football time. No bullshit lets get right to the season predictions. Order of finish, record prediction, small blurb on NFC East teams. Playoff teams in bold

NFC EAST

Philadelphia Eagles 11-5...Defense must play to ability, injury bug must stay away, must go 8-2 (thinking 9-1 is likely) or better in the first 10 games to make playoffs, last 6 games are murderer's row. This is an easy schedule the first half of the season, Eagles must take advantage because the last 6 games are against teams that will contend playoff spots. By the way, I really really love the acquisition of Donte Stallworth, he reminds me of Mike Quick (for those "older" Eagle fans)

Dallas Cowboys 10-6...TO will help the Cowboys, unfortunately for them their O-line sucks ass. TO cant get the ball if the QB doesn't have time to throw. They will beat who they are supposed to beat on the road (Titans & Cardinals) and only lose to the Colts at home. The soap opera Dallas is back in production, TO is playing J.R., the question is....Who will shoot him?

New York Giants 9-7...due to Katrina they got 9 home games last year and went to the playoffs. Their reward? The toughest schedule in the NFL. I really think the Giants are a good team, too bad they get 3 "cupcake" games. You may not see it, but for me to put them at 9-7 with THAT brutal schedule shows a lot of respect.

Washington Redskins 6-10...their star runningback is injured, their quarterback (who is older than dirt) hasn't finished a full season in a decade. Very good defense, a good offensive line, great coaching staff...all of this will be for naught. Last year, they had several flukey victories, the skins will take a step back this year (in the cellar where they belong).


NFC NORTH

Chicago Bears 11-5...Will feast on the worst division in football
Minnesota Vikings 6-10... This team will improve late in the season - look out next year
Detroit Lions 4-12... Neither Jon Kitna nor Josh McCown is NOT the answer at QB
Green Bay 3-13... Sorry Brett, you should have retired. Green Bay is in rebuild mode.

NFC SOUTH

Carolina Panthers 12-4... Best team in NFC if their runnigback stays healty (a big if)
Atlanta Falcons 9-7... They are good one year, bad the next, trend says winner this year
Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-8... Age catching up to star defenders Barber, Brooks, & Quarles.
New Orleans Saints 5-11... Reggie Bush is nice. Sean Payton is their head coach, wait wasnt he run out of New York 3 years ago as offensive coordinator and then while on Dallas last year, wasnt he stripped of playcalling duties from Bill Parcells? Now he is a head coach? I just dont get the math here, neither will the Saints.

NFC WEST

Seattle Seahawks 10-6... First Super Bowl loser to go the playoffs the next year in a decade
Arizona Cardinals 8-8... Signing Edgerrin James was big, but this is the worst offensive line in football. Think the good and bad balances out in Arizona this year (8-8 is a good season for them anyway)
St. Louis Rams 6-10... Different year, same problem - TERRIBLE defense.
San Francisco 49ers 2-14... The long rebuilding project continues, strides wont be made till next year at the earliest.


AFC EAST

New England Patriots 11-5... I'll stop picking them when they start losing, not gonna happen though.
Miami Dolphins 8-8... Trendy sleeper Super Bowl pick by many insiders - Daunte Culpepper has always been a turnover machine in big games. Thats going to change now, 7 years into career? Wrong.
Buffalo Bills 4-12... Have some good players sprinkled into a plethora of bad players.
New York Jets 3-13... The wannabe Patriots need a couple seasons before contending

AFC NORTH

Baltimore Ravens 10-6... That defense + adding Steve McNair at QB = playoffs
Cincinnati Bengals 9-7... Very tough schedule, but this team is loaded enough to squeak over .500
Pittsburgh Steelers 7-9... Defending Super Bowl Champs, but Bettis retired, Chris Hope went to Tennessee, Randle-El went to D.C., and Kimo von Oelhoffen went to New York. Roethlisbergers went face first into a windshield in June, then had an emergency appendectomy last week. Now Hines Ward has a bad hamstring. As an Eagle fan I know what happens when one bad thing after another happens in the offseason. It carries over to the regular season and you end up 7-9 or 6-10 - see Philadelphia last year....
Cleveland Browns 4-12... The slow painful building (not rebuilding cause theyve been awful since the "new Browns" came to town)

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis Colts 13-3... Best team in the NFL right now, hands down.
Jacksonville Jaguars 11-5... They dont blow teams out 49-3, they just win week after week 17-10 with a fantastic defense, and a ball control offense that doesnt make many mistakes (kinda like the Patriots). They are about about 2 players away from being serious Super Bowl contenders.
Houston Texans 4-12... Their new coach will turn this team around....but he needs time
Tennessee Titans 2-14... Poor Jeff Fisher, I think he is one of the best coaches in football, but has been given shitty crumbs to work with the last couple years. Unfortunately he doesnt make the personnel decision on the team, that goes to meddling owner Bud Adams and his management team of football "gurus" [sic].

AFC WEST

Denver Broncos 12-4... Loved their signing of Javon Walker
Kansas City Cheifs 8-8... Will run the ball ALOT, but still have a crappy defense
San Diego Chargers 7-9... Poor Marty Schoettenheimer, he has been told "make the playoffs this year or you are fired" the team subsequently traded his starting QB to New Orleans - ugh
Oakland Raiders 6-10... Will score points in droves, but their defense couldnt stop a high school team.


The Playoffs....

Round 1

Philadelphia over New York
Seattle over Dallas
Baltimore over Jacksonville
New England over Cincinnati

Divisional round

Philadelphia over Chicago
Carolina over Seattle
Denver over New England
Indianapolis over Baltimore

Conference Championships

NFC

Philadelphia over Carolina - Yeah I said it

AFC

Denver over Indianapolis

Super Bowl 41

Philadelphia Eagles over Denver Broncos - Yeah I said that too, you just watch!!!!!

Monday, September 04, 2006

Crikey!!!!

thats all...