Week 8 Predictions

Last Week: 5-8 straight up, 4-9 against the spread

Year to Date: 64-37 straight up, 29-31-3 against the spread

Straight up winners in bold, ATS


Arizona at Green Bay (-3.5) GB
Atlanta at Cincinnati (-4.5) CIN
Baltimore at New Orleans (-2.5) NO
Houston at Tennessee (-3.5) TEN
Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-6.5) PHI
Seattle at Kansas City (-6.5) SEA
San Francisco at Chicago (-16.5) SF
Tampa Bay at N.Y. Giants (-8.5) NYG
St. Louis at San Diego (-9.5) STL
Indianapolis at Denver (-2.5) IND
N.Y. Jets at Cleveland (-1.5) NYJ
Pittsburgh at Oakland (+8.5) PIT
Dallas at Carolina (-5.5) CAR
New England at Minnesota (+2.5) NE

Week 7 Picks

Last Week - 8-5 straight up, 5-8 against the spread (yuck)

Year to Date - 59-29 straight up, 25-23-3 against the spread

Carolina at Cincinnati (-3.5) CIN
Detroit at N.Y. Jets (-3.5) NYJ
Green Bay at Miami (-3.5) GB
Jacksonville at Houston (+9.5) JAX
New England at Buffalo (+5.5) NE
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (+5) PHI
Pittsburgh at Atlanta (+2.5) PIT
San Diego at Kansas City (+5.5) SD
Denver at Cleveland (+5) CLE
Arizona at Oakland (+2.5) ARI
Minnesota at Seattle (-6.5) SEA
Washington at Indianapolis (-9.5) IND
N.Y. Giants at Dallas (-3.5) DAL

Last week - 12-2 straight up, 9-3-2 against the spread
Year to date 51-24 straight up, 20-15-3 against the spread


straight up winners in bold, $$ winners in green


Buffalo at Detroit (+1) BUF
Carolina at Baltimore (-3) CAR
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (+6) CIN
Houston at Dallas (-12.5) DAL
N.Y. Giants at Atlanta (-3) ATL
Philadelphia at New Orleans (+3) PHI
Seattle at St. Louis (+3.5) SEA
Tennessee at Washington (-10) WAS
Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-7) PIT
Miami at N.Y. Jets (-2.5) NYJ
San Diego at San Francisco (+10) SD
Oakland at Denver (-15) OAK
Chicago at Arizona (+10.5) CHI

Oh Yeah

Oops I almost forgot............

HOW BOUT THEM COWBOYS!!!!!

Welcome to Philadelphia assholes! What a fantastic game to watch!

A Brilliant (Football) Weekend

So I went 12-2 straight up and 9-3-2 againt the spread. That 9-3-2 is damn impressive if I do say so myself. Lets say you bet $10000 on every game this past weekend, which of course is a total bet of $140,000. If you did this with my picks, you came home with $200,000. Thats a mere 43% net profit in a weekend.

Cha-ching folks

For some perspective, people who are "in the know" who bet football, bet college not the pros cause Vegas cant scout every game in college like they can the pros. This inability to in-depth scout every college football game leaves betting lines that knowledgable people know are easy money. The shear number of college games just doesnt allow for Vegas to scout properly. Conversly, there are never more than 16 NFL games, all of which are dissected minute to minute by Vegas, other teams, scouts, fans, and the media. This way Vegas is much better at putting out lines that people think are easy money, but really arent. Which is why last year was the first year EVER that the bettors beat Vegas in NFL games.

Well thats 2 weeks in a row that I beat Vegas this year, and not just by 1 game. 9-3-2 is fucking impressive. Case in point, sportsline.com (run by CBS) has "experts" that pick against the spread for every game, every week. Here is how they are doing http://www.sportsline.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks

As you can see I did better than their best, and on the season I am 20-15-3. This means 39% of my picks are wrong. Sportsline's best on the season is wrong 43% of the time. With 512 total games in the season, that 4% is significant. Again that is their best. Hope I can keep it up year long, especially since I have an error rate of only 29% the last 2 weeks (since I have started picking every game Vegas style).

Cha-ching!

Week 5 predictions

Last Week - Straight Up 10-4 ATS 8-5-1
Year To Date - Straight Up 39-22 Against the Spread 11-12-1

Good week last week against the spread, would have won $$


Straight Up winners in bold, against the spread


Buffalo at Chicago (-11) CHI
Cleveland at Carolina (-8.5) CAR
Detroit at Minnesota (-6.5) MIN
Miami at New England (-10) NE
St. Louis at Green Bay (+3) GB
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-6.5) NO
Tennessee at Indianapolis (-18.5) IND
Washington at N.Y. Giants (-4) NYG
Kansas City at Arizona (+3.5) ARI
N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville (-7) JAX
Oakland at San Francisco (-3.5) SF
Dallas at Philadelphia (-2.5) PHI
Pittsburgh at San Diego (-3.5) SD
Balitimore at Denver (-4) DEN

Week 4 Predictions (29-17 straight up, 3-7-1 against the spread)

Okay so last week was a complete fucking disaster, 7-7 straight up, 1-4-1 against the spread. P fucking U. Guess what? It was bad for everybody, except Vegas - they were lauging all the way to the bank as Baltimore, Detroit, Miami, New York Giants, and Atlanta were all terrible. These were big picks last week versus the spread and all failed to come close to covering. Brutal.

Bounce back week, here we go...

Straight Up winners in bold. Against the Spread


Arizona at Atlanta (-7.5) ATL
Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets (+9) IND
Miami at Houston (+4) HOU
Minnesota at Buffalo (-1) BUF
New Orleans at Carolina (-7.5) CAR
San Diego at Baltimore (+2) BAL
Dallas at Tennessee (+10) DAL
San Francisco at Kansas City (-7) SF ***Upset Special***
Detroit at St. Louis (-6) STL
Cleveland at Oakland (+3) OAK
Jacksonville at Washington (+2.5) JAX
New England at Cincinnati (-6) CIN
Seattle at Chicago (-3.5) CHI
Green Bay at Philadelphia (-11) PHI