NFL WEEK 4 PREDICTIONS

Straight up winners in bold, against the spread winners in green

Houton at Atlanta (+2.5) HOU
New York Jets at Buffalo (+3.5) NYJ
Tampa Bay at Carolina (-2.5) CAR
Baltimore at Cleveland (+4.5) BAL
St Louis at Dallas (-12.5) DAL
Chicago at Detroit (+2.5) CHI
Oakland at Miami (-3.5) MIA
Green Bay at Minnesota (+1.5) GB
Seattle at San Francisco (+1.5) SEA
Pittsburgh at Arizona (+5.5) PIT
Denver at Indianapolis (-9.5) DEN
Kansas City at San Diego (-12.5) SD
Philadelphia at New York Giants (+2.5) PHI
New England at Cincinnati (+7.5) CIN

Results - Week 3

Better.....

Straight Up - 9-7
Against The Spread - 10-6 (thats money folks)

Year To Date

Straight Up - 28-20
Against The Spread - 26-22

NFL WEEK 3 PREDICTIONS

Last weeks results....

Straight up - 9-7
Against the spread 4-12 (cold cold cold)

Year to date....

Straight up - 19-13
Against the spread - 16-16


Straight up winners in bold, against the spread winners in green

Arizona at Baltimore (-7.5) ARI
Buffalo at New England (-15.5) NE
Detroit at Philadelphia (-5.5) PHI
Indianapolis at Houston (+5.5) IND
Miami at N.Y. Jets (-2.5) NYJ
Minnesota at Kansas City (-2.5) KC
San Diego at Green Bay (+4.5) SD
San Francisco at Pittsburgh (-8.5) PIT
St. Louis at Tampa Bay (-3.5) STL
Cincinnati at Seattle (-3.5) CIN
Cleveland at Oakland (-2.5) OAK
Jacksonville at Denver (-3.5) DEN
Carolina at Atlanta (+3.5) CAR
N.Y. Giants at Washington (-3.5) NYG
Dallas at Chicago (-2.5) CHI
Tennessee at New Orleans (-4.5) NO

NFL WEEK 2 PREDICTIONS

Last Week's Results...

Straight Up - 10-6
Against The Spread - 12-4 (hot hot hot start!!!)

Great start, but on to this week.....


Straight up winners in bold, against the spread winners in green

Houston at Carolina (-6.5) CAR
Kansas City at Chicago (-12.5) CHI
Cincinnati at Cleveland (+6.5) CIN
Atlanta at Jacksonville (-10.5) JAX
Green Bay at New York Giants (-1.5) NYG
Buffalo at Pittsburgh (-9.5) PIT
San Francisco at St Louis (-2.5) STL
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+3.5) NO
Indianapolis at Tennessee (+6.5) IND
Seattle at Arizona (+2.5) ARI (upset special #1)
Minnesota at Detroit (-3.5) DET
Dallas at Miami (+3.5) MIA (upset special #2)
New York Jets at Baltimore (-9.5) BAL
Oakland at Denver (-9.5) OAK
San Diego at New England (-3.5) NE
Washington at Philadelphia (-6.5) PHI

NFL WEEK 1 PREDICTIONS

Straight up winners in bold, against the spread winners in green


New Orleans at Indianapolis (-5.5) IND
Atlanta at Minnesota (-2.5) MIN
Carolina at St. Louis (-1) STL
Denver at Buffalo (+3.5) BUF (upset special #1)
Kansas City at Houston (-3) HOU
Miami at Washington (-2.5) WAS
New England at N.Y. Jets (+6.5) NE
Philadelphia at Green Bay (+2.5) PHI
Pittsburgh at Cleveland (+4.5) PIT
Tennessee at Jacksonville (-6.5) TEN
Chicago at San Diego (-5.5) SD
Detroit at Oakland (-1.5) OAK
Tampa Bay at Seattle (-5.5) SEA
N.Y. Giants at Dallas (-5.5) DAL
Baltimore at Cincinnati (-2.5) CIN
Arizona at San Francisco (-2.5) ARI (upset special #2)

2007 NFL Season Predictions

All right, all right, its been too long, however I will keep this short and sweet...

NFC EAST

Philadelphia Eagles - 11-5
Dallas Cowboys - 10-6
New York Giants - 7-9
Washington Redskins - 6-10

NFC NORTH

Chicago Bears - 12-4
Green Bay Packers - 8-8
Detroit Lions - 7-9
Minnesota Vikings - 5-11

NFC SOUTH

New Orleans Saints - 11-5
Carolina Panthers - 9-7
Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 6-10
Atlanta Falcons - 2-14

NFC WEST

Seattle Seahawks - 11-5
St Louis Rams - 8-8
Arizona Cardinals - 8-8
San Francisco 49ers - 7-9

PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Round

Cowboys over Saints
Seahawks over Panthers

Divisional Round

Cowboys over Bears
Eagles over Seahawks

NFC Championship

Eagles over Cowboys


AFC EAST

New England Patriots - 12-4
New York Jets - 8-8
Buffalo Bills - 6-10
Miami Dolphins - 4-12

AFC NORTH

Cincinnati Bengals - 11-5
Pittsburgh Steelers - 10-6
Baltimore Ravens - 9-7
Cleveland Browns - 3-13

AFC SOUTH

Indianapolis Colts - 13-3
Jacksonville Jaguars - 7-9
Tennessee Titans - 6-10
Houston Texans - 4-12

AFC WEST

San Diego Chargers - 10-6
Denver Broncos - 9-7
Oakland Raiders - 4-12
Kansas City Cheifs - 3-13


PLAYOFFS

Wild Card Round

Steelers over Chargers
Bengals over Broncos

Divisional Round

Bengals over Patriots
Colts over Steelers

AFC CHAMPIONSHIP

Colts over Bengals


Super Bowl Prediction

Indianapolis Colts - 37
Philadelphia Eagles - 27


Sorry Eagle's fans....it will be a fun ride though

Your Son is a Statistic, Not a Martyr!

I will start off by saying that suing the restaurant is not as dumb as it seems. Generally if someone is involved in an alcohol related accident resulting in damage or death to people or property (not including the driver), then the place where alcohol was last consumed (whether a public establishment or private home) can be held partially liable for damages to the victims, and in some cases can be charged criminally not just sued in a civil court. Having worked in restaurants that serve alcohol, part of the training and policies are a maximum of 3 drinks per customer (or 2 in some places). Based on the early facts of the case, this restaurant (along with the owner, manager on duty, and possibly server/bartender) will likely be found as negligent due to the fact that they continued to serve alcohol past the point of noticeable intoxication (and yes, twice the legal limit is definitely noticeable). I don't necessarily agree with this precedent but it is what it is.

As an aside, this is the first case I have heard where the only victim was the intoxicated driver (of legal drinking age) but whose estate is also the complainant. This fact alone throws a monkey wrench into a normally expected open and shut case where the establishment (and managers/employees) are found liable for damages.

I would not have felt the need to write anything if this case was only against the establishment. When the owner of the tow truck and the stalled vehicle were also named as defendants, I was thoroughly disgusted with the father and attorney attempting to turn the deceased into a martyr.

As someone who had a DUI a few years ago (no lives or property were affected and who has served his debt to society) I can tell you that for most people who are either arrested for DUI for the first time or involved in an alcohol related accident for the first time...in all likelihood it was not the first time the driver has driven under the influence (and usually not 2ND or 3rd either). Just as former pitcher Hancock did a few weeks ago, and just as I did a few years ago, a bad choice was made while sober...to drink and then drive. This decision is made when you first get in the car while sober - so to his father; you can not start deflecting blame from your dead son to others.

Some questions I would pose directly to Hancock's father if given the opportunity....

Was your son of legal drinking age, and of reasonable competency prior to that fateful night?

That readily handy bag of weed in your son's vehicle containing just over 8 grams was not a standard quarter bag, it tells me he actually had at least a half ounce when purchased. People who smoke weed generally will smoke it when drunk to "balance themselves out". My question - there was nobody else in the vehicle, so who smoked just over an eighth of weed from that bag???

Are you going to name the drug dealer, and the drug dealers union in your lawsuit?

Is it safe to speed during the day?

How about at night?

Is it safe to talk on the cell phone while driving during the day?

How about at night?

Is it safe to get drunk, smoke weed, speed, and talk on the cell phone all while driving during the day?

How about at night?

Did your son have a choice to do all of the above?

I made my bed and lied in it several years ago. Your son made his bed a few weeks ago. It's time to let him lie in it (permanently as it is). Just be glad he didn't hurt or kill anyone else, or his estate would be the one defending lawsuits.

Take some responsibility where your son did not.

Icy Aftermath/Storm Update

The snow and sleet have moved out of the Reading area, but now comes the wind and bitter cold.

The winter storm began for the Lehigh Valley as light snow during yesterday's morning commute. Snow continued off and on throughout the morning into the early afternoon when the snow really intensified for the afternoon drive home. Roads which were mainly wet throughout the day, became snow covered within 30 minutes. After picking up about 3 inches of snow, the precipitation turned to sleet as warmer air aloft invaded the area around 7pm.

The sleet continued throughout the night and into Wednesday morning at varying intensities. By 10 this morning sleet had accumulated about 2-4 inches throughout the area. As the coastal low moved northward to Long Island, winds shifted from the east to north-northwest thus driving out the warmer air aloft and changing the sleet back to a several hour period of heavy snow.

The snow tapered to flurries by late afternoon but not before leaving another 4-8 inches of snow on top of the mess that had already fallen. As the storm moves away, northwest winds will increase greatly pulling in brutally cold Arctic air to the region. Temperatures will plummet to around 5 degrees tonight with sustained winds of 20-30 mph. This will produce dangerously cold wind chills around 20 below zero. Any slush or standing water will freeze solid by midnight creating yet another tricky commute tomorrow morning. My advice is stay off the roads tonight and possibly wait a couple hours tomorrow morning before venturing out.

From the fabulously cold bachelor pad/weather center in Reading, I'm K-money.

Winter Storm

I welcome myself back from Blogger hiatus. First major winter storm of the season here in Reading. Snow, then sleet, then a lllllllllllllllot of sleet, and now back to snow. Work is closed for today, so I am inspired somewhat to update. For you snow nuts - the next storm could be this coming Monday, Presidents Day, stay tuned...

To Trouble - we miss you here is PA, our fingers are crossed for you!!

Week 11 picks

Last week - 8-8 straight up, 10-6 ATS
Year to Date - 88-57 straight up, 52-52-3 ATS

Straight up winners in bold, ATS winners in green



Atlanta at Baltimore (-4.5) BAL
Buffalo at Houston (-2.5) HOU
Chicago at N.Y. Jets (+6.5) NYJ
Cincinnati at New Orleans (-3.5) NO
Minnesota at Miami (-3.5) MIA
New England at Green Bay (+5.5) GB
Oakland at Kansas City (-9.5) OAK
Pittsburgh at Cleveland (+3.5) PIT
St. Louis at Carolina (-6.5) STL
Tennessee at Philadelphia (-12.5) PHI
Washington at Tampa Bay (-3.5) TB
Detroit at Arizona (-2.5) ARI
Seattle at San Francisco (+6.5) SEA
Indianapolis at Dallas (+1.5) IND
San Diego at Denver (-2.5) DEN
N.Y. Giants at Jacksonville (-3.5) NYG

Week 10 Picks

Last Week - 8-6 straight up, 8-6 ATS
Year to Date - 80-49 straight up, 42-46-3 ATS

Straight up winners in bold, ATS winners in green



Baltimore at Tennessee (+7.5) BAL
Buffalo at Indianapolis (-12.5) IND
Cleveland at Atlanta (-7.5) ATL
Green Bay at Minnesota (-5.5) GB
Houston at Jacksonville (-10.5) HOU
Kansas City at Miami (+1.5) MIA
N.Y. Jets at New England (-10.5) NYJ
San Diego at Cincinnati (+1.5) CIN
San Francisco at Detroit (-5.5) SF
Washington at Philadelphia (-6.5) PHI
Denver at Oakland (+9.5) DEN
Dallas at Arizona (+6.5) DAL
New Orleans at Pittsburgh (-3.5) PIT
St. Louis at Seattle (-3.5) STL
Chicago at N.Y. Giants (-2.5) NYG
Tampa Bay at Carolina (-9.5) CAR

Week 9 Picks

Last week - 8-6 straight up, 5-9 ats
Year to date - 72-43 straight up, 34-40-3 ats

Straight up winners in bold, ats winners in green


Atlanta at Detroit (+5.5) DET
Cincinnati at Baltimore (-2.5) BAL
Dallas at Washington (+2.5) WAS
Green Bay at Buffalo (-2.5) GB
Houston at N.Y. Giants (-13) NYG
Kansas City at St. Louis (-2.5) STL
Miami at Chicago (-13.5) CHI
New Orleans at Tampa Bay (+1.5) NO
Tennessee at Jacksonville (-8.5) JAX
Minnesota at San Francisco (+5.5) SF
Cleveland at San Diego (-12.5) SD
Denver at Pittsburgh (-2.5) PIT
Indianapolis at New England (-3.5) IND
Oakland at Seattle (-7.5)

Tragedy

Orlando Rivera, a friend of Bob and myself (among many others) was robbed and killed Wednesday in Philadelphia. Listed below is his obituary (27 years old).


http://www.snyderfuneralhome.com/OBITUARIES/Rivera.htm



After staring at this blinking cursor for the last 15 minutes, I just cant seem to come up with what I feel is appropriate to say. Orlando, you loved life, many people loved you, and you will be missed sorely by all your family and friends. In a period that was all too brief, it was an honor to have known you. If there is an afterlife, then I am sure you will enjoy or are currently laughing at us all (with cocktail in hand, no doubt).

Week 8 Predictions

Last Week: 5-8 straight up, 4-9 against the spread

Year to Date: 64-37 straight up, 29-31-3 against the spread

Straight up winners in bold, ATS


Arizona at Green Bay (-3.5) GB
Atlanta at Cincinnati (-4.5) CIN
Baltimore at New Orleans (-2.5) NO
Houston at Tennessee (-3.5) TEN
Jacksonville at Philadelphia (-6.5) PHI
Seattle at Kansas City (-6.5) SEA
San Francisco at Chicago (-16.5) SF
Tampa Bay at N.Y. Giants (-8.5) NYG
St. Louis at San Diego (-9.5) STL
Indianapolis at Denver (-2.5) IND
N.Y. Jets at Cleveland (-1.5) NYJ
Pittsburgh at Oakland (+8.5) PIT
Dallas at Carolina (-5.5) CAR
New England at Minnesota (+2.5) NE

Week 7 Picks

Last Week - 8-5 straight up, 5-8 against the spread (yuck)

Year to Date - 59-29 straight up, 25-23-3 against the spread

Carolina at Cincinnati (-3.5) CIN
Detroit at N.Y. Jets (-3.5) NYJ
Green Bay at Miami (-3.5) GB
Jacksonville at Houston (+9.5) JAX
New England at Buffalo (+5.5) NE
Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (+5) PHI
Pittsburgh at Atlanta (+2.5) PIT
San Diego at Kansas City (+5.5) SD
Denver at Cleveland (+5) CLE
Arizona at Oakland (+2.5) ARI
Minnesota at Seattle (-6.5) SEA
Washington at Indianapolis (-9.5) IND
N.Y. Giants at Dallas (-3.5) DAL

Last week - 12-2 straight up, 9-3-2 against the spread
Year to date 51-24 straight up, 20-15-3 against the spread


straight up winners in bold, $$ winners in green


Buffalo at Detroit (+1) BUF
Carolina at Baltimore (-3) CAR
Cincinnati at Tampa Bay (+6) CIN
Houston at Dallas (-12.5) DAL
N.Y. Giants at Atlanta (-3) ATL
Philadelphia at New Orleans (+3) PHI
Seattle at St. Louis (+3.5) SEA
Tennessee at Washington (-10) WAS
Kansas City at Pittsburgh (-7) PIT
Miami at N.Y. Jets (-2.5) NYJ
San Diego at San Francisco (+10) SD
Oakland at Denver (-15) OAK
Chicago at Arizona (+10.5) CHI

Oh Yeah

Oops I almost forgot............

HOW BOUT THEM COWBOYS!!!!!

Welcome to Philadelphia assholes! What a fantastic game to watch!

A Brilliant (Football) Weekend

So I went 12-2 straight up and 9-3-2 againt the spread. That 9-3-2 is damn impressive if I do say so myself. Lets say you bet $10000 on every game this past weekend, which of course is a total bet of $140,000. If you did this with my picks, you came home with $200,000. Thats a mere 43% net profit in a weekend.

Cha-ching folks

For some perspective, people who are "in the know" who bet football, bet college not the pros cause Vegas cant scout every game in college like they can the pros. This inability to in-depth scout every college football game leaves betting lines that knowledgable people know are easy money. The shear number of college games just doesnt allow for Vegas to scout properly. Conversly, there are never more than 16 NFL games, all of which are dissected minute to minute by Vegas, other teams, scouts, fans, and the media. This way Vegas is much better at putting out lines that people think are easy money, but really arent. Which is why last year was the first year EVER that the bettors beat Vegas in NFL games.

Well thats 2 weeks in a row that I beat Vegas this year, and not just by 1 game. 9-3-2 is fucking impressive. Case in point, sportsline.com (run by CBS) has "experts" that pick against the spread for every game, every week. Here is how they are doing http://www.sportsline.com/nfl/features/writers/expert/picks

As you can see I did better than their best, and on the season I am 20-15-3. This means 39% of my picks are wrong. Sportsline's best on the season is wrong 43% of the time. With 512 total games in the season, that 4% is significant. Again that is their best. Hope I can keep it up year long, especially since I have an error rate of only 29% the last 2 weeks (since I have started picking every game Vegas style).

Cha-ching!

Week 5 predictions

Last Week - Straight Up 10-4 ATS 8-5-1
Year To Date - Straight Up 39-22 Against the Spread 11-12-1

Good week last week against the spread, would have won $$


Straight Up winners in bold, against the spread


Buffalo at Chicago (-11) CHI
Cleveland at Carolina (-8.5) CAR
Detroit at Minnesota (-6.5) MIN
Miami at New England (-10) NE
St. Louis at Green Bay (+3) GB
Tampa Bay at New Orleans (-6.5) NO
Tennessee at Indianapolis (-18.5) IND
Washington at N.Y. Giants (-4) NYG
Kansas City at Arizona (+3.5) ARI
N.Y. Jets at Jacksonville (-7) JAX
Oakland at San Francisco (-3.5) SF
Dallas at Philadelphia (-2.5) PHI
Pittsburgh at San Diego (-3.5) SD
Balitimore at Denver (-4) DEN

Week 4 Predictions (29-17 straight up, 3-7-1 against the spread)

Okay so last week was a complete fucking disaster, 7-7 straight up, 1-4-1 against the spread. P fucking U. Guess what? It was bad for everybody, except Vegas - they were lauging all the way to the bank as Baltimore, Detroit, Miami, New York Giants, and Atlanta were all terrible. These were big picks last week versus the spread and all failed to come close to covering. Brutal.

Bounce back week, here we go...

Straight Up winners in bold. Against the Spread


Arizona at Atlanta (-7.5) ATL
Indianapolis at N.Y. Jets (+9) IND
Miami at Houston (+4) HOU
Minnesota at Buffalo (-1) BUF
New Orleans at Carolina (-7.5) CAR
San Diego at Baltimore (+2) BAL
Dallas at Tennessee (+10) DAL
San Francisco at Kansas City (-7) SF ***Upset Special***
Detroit at St. Louis (-6) STL
Cleveland at Oakland (+3) OAK
Jacksonville at Washington (+2.5) JAX
New England at Cincinnati (-6) CIN
Seattle at Chicago (-3.5) CHI
Green Bay at Philadelphia (-11) PHI